Hi. I’m Nathan Taylor. My blog is about technological change, and its impact to society over (roughly) the next 5-20 years. A somewhat neglected time horizon. What I’d call the near future. Hence my blog tagline: “tech trends and the near future.”
The immediate future is written about all the time. The far future, beyond say 20 years, is prone to include magical technology that may never arrive, eg cheap fusion power. To lift a phrase from William Gibson: I write about technology that’s already here — just not evenly distributed. Venture capital overlaps this time horizon. But VC is a crazy difficult timing is everything game, betting on particular people and companies. What I’m interested in is related but different: how tech trends play out at an industry or societal level.
I write about exponential trends like Moore’s law and genome sequencing. But also human cognition, AI, space, evolution, economics, science, and most fundamentally about how technology endlessly coevolves with society. Though sometimes I post on a topic just because it strikes me as fun, cool or interesting.
I do two kinds of posts. The first are linkposts, with numbered links and commentary explaining why it seems important. So newsletter style. The second are deeper dives into a particular topic. These are more enjoyable to write, but more work, so I do them less often.
For posts on particular topics, I like to start with a journalistic recap of what’s happening now. Then build on demographic, economic or technological trends to illuminate what’s next. For example a common theme is how zero marginal cost digital goods are driving change in business models and governance, reshaping media, and starting to impact health and transportation. More broadly digital technology is changing income distributions and increasing the risk for tech monopoly. The internet’s impact on politics is clear enough.
I called my blog “praxtime” because my name Nathan Taylor is so common you’d never find this site searching on it. Praxtime is a take on praxis, learning by doing. In this case the doing is writing, the best way to drive thoughts to clarity. Often a post starts one way, but after rewrite and research goes another. This is a personal hobby. Family and my regular job come first. So I write irregularly off and on as time permits. All are welcome!
You can get new posts by email, by following @praxtime on twitter, using RSS, or liking Praxtime on facebook. Or just bookmark this site. The best way to reach me the person is @ntaylor963 on twitter or firstname.lastname@example.org on email. Feel free to browse older posts by topic or date.
Image credit: My blog's header image used with written permission from the excellent astrophotographer Mark Gee. Here's one more below.